The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll 6/2/08

June 2, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that John McCain and Barack Obama are tied at 45% (see recent daily results). Tracking Poll results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern.

New polling released today shows Obama with a three-point advantage in Connecticut. Yesterday’s releases showed McCain leading by nine percentage points in Louisiana and Obama with a double digit lead in Massachusetts. Louisiana’s Senator Mary Landrieu has a narrow lead in her bid for re-election. Senator John Kerry is cruising in Massachusetts. ( Obama News )

With today’s poll, Connecticut shifts from “Safely Democratic” to “Likely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. Still, Democrats lead in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are included, the Democrats enjoy a 260-240 Electoral College lead (see summary of recent state-by-state results). Data from Rasmussen Markets gives Democrats a 61.0% chance of winning the White House in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants).

McCain is viewed favorably by 49% of voters nationwide and unfavorably by 48%. Those figures include 19% with a Very Favorable opinion of the Republican hopeful and 25% with a Very Unfavorable opinion. ( McCain News )

Obama’s numbers are 47% favorable and 50% unfavorable (see recent daily ratings). Twenty-eight percent (28%) have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama while 35% have a Very Unfavorable view.

Sixty-nine percent (69%) of Americans have heard about Scott McClellan’s new book. A plurality doesn’t know whether the former White House Press Secretary is telling the truth.

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, Obama holds a 47% to 42% advantage over Clinton nationally (see recent Democratic Nomination results). Rasmussen Reports will report our final results on this race when the Primary and Caucus season ends tomorrow. Data from Rasmussen Markets give Obama a 92.9% chance of winning the nomination. Among all voters, Clinton is viewed favorably by 47%.

Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. The general election sample is currently based upon interviews with 1,600 Likely Voters. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for the full-week results are available for Premium Members. See crosstabs for general election match-ups and favorability ratings.