TheRasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll 6/29/08

June 29, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Barack Obama attracting 47% of the vote while John McCain earns 40%. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 49% to 43%. Three percent (3%) say they will vote for a third-party option while 4% remain undecided. Tracking poll results are updated at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day (see recent daily results and recent demographic highlights).

New polling released this morning shows that public attitudes towards the Supreme Court improved after the Justices overturned a Washington, DC ban on handguns last Thursday. On another topic, support for offshore drilling dipped a few points this week, but only Democrats are changing their opinion on the issue. State polling shows McCain leading in his home state of Arizona and Republican Senator Saxby Chambliss enjoying a healthy lead over five potential challengers in Georgia.

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Obama is viewed favorably by 55% of voters, McCain by 54%. Their negative reviews are also very similar—42% for Obama and 44% for McCain. Opinions continue to be much more strongly held about Obama than McCain–32% have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama while 27% have a Very Unfavorable view. For McCain, those numbers are 16% Very Favorable and 18% Very Unfavorable (see recent daily favorables).

Each Saturday, Rasmussen Reports takes a look at what voters told us in key polls over the past week. This week’s topics include Supreme Court rulings, gas prices, and whether the United States is still a land of opportunity in these troubled economic times.

The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Obama leading in states with 200 Electoral College votes while McCain leads in states with 174 votes. When leaners are included, it’s Obama 284, McCain 240.

Most public polling continues to suggest a close race between Obama and McCain, a couple of recent polls have shown the Democrat with a double-digit lead. Scott Rasmussen takes a look at why these polls are different and at the polling-industry disagreement about how to treat partisan identification in a poll.

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 1,000 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error—for the full sample of 3,000 Likely Voters–is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for the full-week results are available for Premium Members.

A review of last week’s key polls is posted each Saturday morning.

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