TheRasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll 6/28/08

June 28, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Barack Obama attracting 47% of the vote while John McCain earns 40%. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 49% to 44%. Three percent (3%) say they will vote for a third-party option while 5% remain undecided. Tracking poll results are updated at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day (see recent daily results and recent demographic highlights).

Each Saturday, Rasmussen Reports takes a look at what voters told us in key polls over the past week. This week’s topics include Supreme Court rulings, gas prices, and whether the United States is still a land of opportunity in these troubled economic times. Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update and stay up to date with the latest public opinion news.

Recent state-by-state Presidential polling has been released for Texas, Kentucky and Mississippi. Additional state polling data will be released over the weekend. The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Obama leading in states with 200 Electoral College votes while McCain leads in states with 174 votes. When leaners are included, it’s Obama 284, McCain 240.

Obama is viewed favorably by 55% of voters, McCain by 54%. Their negative reviews are also very similar—43% for Obama and 44% for McCain. Opinions continue to be much more strongly held about Obama than McCain–32% have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama while 27% have a Very Unfavorable view. For McCain, those numbers are 17% Very Favorable and 19% Very Unfavorable (see recent daily favorables).

Most public polling continues to suggest a close race between Obama and McCain, a couple of recent polls have shown the Democrat with a double-digit lead. Scott Rasmussen takes a look at why these polls are different and at the polling-industry disagreement about how to treat partisan identification in a poll.

New data on key Senate races shows Kentucky’s Mitch McConnell leading but still below 50% in his bid for re-election. In Mississippi, appointed U.S. Senator Roger Wicker finds himself in a toss-up race as he seeks to win his job for a full term.

The general public is pleased with the Supreme Court ruling on gun control. Voters also tend to believe that McCain agrees with the decision and Obama does not. On another hot topic, new survey data shows that 35% of voters say gas prices could reach $6 a gallon this summer and most say $5 gas is at least somewhat likely. Thirty-one percent (31%) are optimistic enough to think that gas prices will fall below $4 a gallon by summer’s end.

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 1,000 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error—for the full sample of 3,000 Likely Voters–is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for the full-week results are available for Premium Members.

A review of last week’s key polls is posted each Saturday morning.

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