TheRasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll 6/23/08

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Barack Obama attracting 47% of the vote while John McCain earns 40%. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 49% to 43% (see recent daily results). Tracking poll results are updated at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day.

American voters are evenly divided on the need for stricter gun control laws but don’t think city government should have the right to prevent citizens from owning handguns in their city.

At noon Eastern, Rasmussen Reports will release new polling data from New Mexico and Utah. At 3:00 p.m. Eastern, results for the New Mexico Senate race will be released. Finally, data on the Presidential race from Pennsylvania will be released at 5:00 Eastern. Key polls from last week are highlighted in What They Told Us.

Currently, Obama and McCain are essentially even among men while the Democrat leads by twelve among women. McCain leads 49% to 42% among White Voters but trails 93% to 3% among African-American voters. Among voters who see economic issues as most important this year, Obama leads 59% to 32%. As for those who view national security issues as most important, McCain leads 59% to 37% (see other recent demographic notes). Sixty-three percent (63%) of voters think McCain views U.S. society as generally fair and decent. Forty-five percent (45%) believe Obama holds that same view.

The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Obama leading in states with 200 Electoral College votes while McCain leads in states with 174 votes. When leaners are included, it’s Obama 284, McCain 240.

Obama is viewed favorably by 56% and unfavorably by 42%. For McCain, the numbers are 54% favorable and 43% unfavorable. Opinions are held more strongly about Obama–31% have a Very Favorable opinion of the Democratic hopeful while 26% hold a Very Unfavorable opinion. For McCain, those numbers are 17% Very Favorable and 19% Very Unfavorable (see recent daily favorables).

Michelle Obama is now viewed favorably by forty-five percent (45%) of voters and unfavorably by 42%. For Cindy McCain, the numbers are 47% favorable and 27% unfavorable (see crosstabs). For both women, those numbers are down slightly from the earlier tracking results.

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 1,000 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error—for the full sample of 3,000 Likely Voters–is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for the full-week results are available for Premium Members.

A review of last week’s key polls is posted each Saturday morning.

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