The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday, day one of the General Election, shows Barack Obama attracting 43% of the vote while John McCain earns 41%. When “leaners” are included, Obama retains a two-point edge, 47% to 45%. Leaners are survey respondents who initially do not favor either candidate but indicate their support on a follow-up question (see daily results).
Tracking Poll results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern.
New polling conducted last night shows that 51% of Democrats believe Hillary Clinton should be named as Obama’s Vice-Presidential running mate. Support is higher among lower-income Democrats. ( obama news )
Additionally, last night’s polling shows that 78% say they could vote for an African-American for President. But, only 56% believe their family, friends and co-workers are willing to do the same.
Economic issues have muscled past national security issues as a voter concern with significant implications for Election 2008. Fifty-nine percent (59%) of Americans say that talks with Iran should not take place until that nation stops developing nuclear weapons.
Voters see a clear distinction between the two leading candidates on the issue of Iraq. Eighty-one percent (81%) say Obama is more interested in getting troops home from Iraq than finishing the mission. Seventy-four percent (74%) say that McCain is more interested in finishing the mission (crosstabs available for Premium Members). An earlier survey found that 52% of voters say getting the troops home is the higher priority. ( McCain News )
Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters have a favorable opinion of Obama while 43% offer a negative assessment. Thirty-one percent (31%) have a Very Favorable opinion, 28% Very Unfavorable (see daily results).
McCain is viewed favorably by 55% of voters nationwide and unfavorably by 42%. Those figures include 19% with a Very Favorable opinion of the Republican hopeful and 17% with a Very Unfavorable opinion (see daily results).
Forty-three percent (43%) of voters say McCain is a better leader than Obama while 38% hold the opposite view. When asked which candidate has personal values closer to their won, 43% name McCain and 42% say Obama (crosstabs available for Premium Members).
Forty-four percent (44%) trust McCain most when it comes to economic issues and managing the economy while 40% prefer Obama. On national security issues such as the War in Iraq and the War on Terrorism, 51% have more trust in McCain while 37% prefer Obama (crosstabs available for Premium Members).
The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are included, the Democrats enjoy a 260-240 Electoral College lead (see summary of recent state-by-state results). Data from Rasmussen Markets gives Democrats a 63.2% chance of winning the White House in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants).
Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 1,000 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for the full-week results are available for Premium Members.