The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll 4/18/08

April 18, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows John McCain leading Barack Obama, 48% to 42%. The presumptive Republican nominee also leads Hillary Clinton 50% to 41%. Daily tracking results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time (see recent daily general election results).

Just 68% of Democrats say they would vote for Obama against McCain. Twenty-three percent (23%) would vote for the Republican, 5% for a third-party option, and 4% are undecided. Clinton attracts 71% of Democrats. In that match-up, 21% would vote for McCain, 4% say they would vote for some other candidate, and another 4% are undecided. McCain attracts 85% of Republicans against Clinton, 82% against Obama, and leads both Democrats by double digits among unaffiliated voters.

McCain is viewed favorably by 56% and unfavorably by 41%. Obama’s ratings are 47% favorable and 51% unfavorable. For Clinton, those numbers are 43% favorable, 55% unfavorable (see recent daily favorable ratings).

Among Democratic voters nationwide, both Clinton and Obama are viewed favorably by 67% and unfavorably by 31%. In a reversal from earlier in the year, opinions are stronger concerning Obama. Forty-three percent (43%) of Democrats have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama while 17% have a Very Unfavorable view. For Clinton, those numbers are 33% Very Favorable and 13% Very Unfavorable.

McCain is viewed favorably by 85% of Republicans and unfavorably by 12%. Thirty-four percent (34%) of Republicans have a Very Favorable opinion of him while only 4% have a Very Unfavorable view.

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, Obama leads Clinton nationally 46% to 41% (see recent daily Democratic Nomination results). New polling data released today, shows that Clinton’s lead in Pennsylvania is down to three percentage points. That same survey found that 57% believe the Superdelegates should honor the primary results and vote for Obama even if something happens to convince them that Clinton would be a stronger general election candidate. Rasmussen Markets data gives Obama an 82.5 % chance of winning the Democratic nomination.

The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows the Electoral College race remains a Toss-Up. Democrats lead in states with 190 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are added, the Democrats lead 260 to 240 (see summary of recent state-by-state results). Data from Rasmussen Markets gives Democrats a 59.6 % chance of winning the White House in November.

Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. The general election sample is currently based upon interviews with 1,600 Likely Voters. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for the full-week results are available for Premium Members. See crosstabs for general election match-ups, favorable ratings and Democratic primary.