The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows John McCain leading Barack Obama, 47% to 43%. The presumptive Republican nominee also leads Hillary Clinton 49% to 41%. Daily tracking results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time (see recent daily general election results). New state polling data will be released for California, Arizona, and Colorado in the coming days.
In a match-up against Clinton, the former First Lady attracts support from 14% of Republican women. However, McCain earns the vote from 25% of Democratic men. With Obama as the nominee, 14% of Republican women say they’d vote for the Democrat. Twenty-one percent (21%) of Democratic men would vote for the GOP hopeful. Overall, McCain leads both Democrats by double digits among men and is competitive among women.
McCain is viewed favorably by 55% and unfavorably by 43%. Obama’s ratings are 48% favorable and 50% unfavorable. For Clinton, those numbers are 42% favorable, 56% unfavorable (see recent daily favorable ratings).
There is no significant gender gap in perceptions of John McCain. He earns favorable reviews from 56% of men and 54% of women. For Obama, there is a six-point gap—he is viewed favorably by 45% of men and 51% of women. For Clinton, the gender gap is huge. Only 33% of men have a favorable opinion of her along with 48% of women.
In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, Obama leads Clinton nationally 48% to 41% (see recent daily Democratic Nomination results). Obama leads by sixteen points among men while the two candidates are essentially even among women. In Pennsylvania, Clinton leads by nine. Rasmussen Markets data gives Obama an 81.9 % chance of winning the Democratic nomination.
New polling released yesterday shows that Americans who feel good about their finances are more likely to attend Church and consider faith an important part of their life.
The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows the Electoral College race remains a Toss-Up. Democrats lead in states with 190 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are added, the Democrats lead 260 to 240 (see summary of recent state-by-state results). Data from Rasmussen Markets gives Democrats a 59.5 % chance of winning the White House in November.
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. The general election sample is currently based upon interviews with 1,600 Likely Voters. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for the full-week results are available for Premium Members. See crosstabs for general election match-ups, favorable ratings and Democratic primary.