The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll 4/12/08

April 12, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows John McCain with a very slight advantage over Barack Obama, 47% to 43%. In a match-up with Hillary Clinton, the results are the same–McCain 47% Clinton 43% (see recent daily results). Daily tracking results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time. Rasmussen Markets data shows that Democrats are given a 59.2 % chance of winning the White House this year.

New polling data from North Carolina shows that Obama has caught up to McCain in the Tar Heel State. Polling released yesterday provided good news for Democrats in Pennsylvania and no surprises in Louisiana. Recent polls have also been released for Ohio, New Mexico, Alaska, and Montana.

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, Obama now attracts 46% of the vote while Hillary Clinton earns 44%. That’s the closest the race has been in a week (see recent daily results). New survey data shows that 63% of Democrats expect Obama to be the nominee and data from Rasmussen Markets gives Obama an 84.1 % chance of winning.

Overall, among all voters nationwide, McCain is viewed favorably by 53% and unfavorably by 44%. Obama’s reviews are also 51% favorable and 48% unfavorable. For Clinton, those numbers are 46% favorable, 52% unfavorable (see recent daily results).

The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows the Electoral College race remains a Toss-Up. Democrats lead in states with 190 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are added, the Democrats lead 243 to 240 (see summary of recent state-by-state results).

Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. The general election sample is currently based upon interviews with 1,600 Likely Voters. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for the full-week results are available for Premium Members. See crosstabs for general election match-ups, favorable ratings and Democratic primary.