The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows John McCain with a statistically insignificant one-point advantage over Barack Obama, 46% to 45%. Yesterday, it was Obama leading McCain by that same statistically insignificant margin (see recent daily results). In a match-up with Hillary Clinton, McCain attracts 48% of the vote while Clinton earns 42%. Daily tracking results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time.
McCain is viewed favorably by 52% and unfavorably by 45%. Obama’s reviews are also 52% favorable and 45% unfavorable. For Clinton, those numbers are 45% favorable, 53% unfavorable (see recent daily results). Rasmussen Markets data shows that Democrats are given a 59.1 % chance of winning the White House this year.
New state general election polls will be released today at noon Eastern for Ohio, New Mexico, Alaska, and Montana. New Senate polls have already been released for Alaska, New Mexico, and Alabama. The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows the Electoral College race remains a Toss-Up. Democrats lead in states with 190 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are added, the Democrats lead 243 to 240 (see summary of recent state-by-state results).
In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, Obama now attracts 48% of the vote while Hillary Clinton earns 41%. That’s the first time in nearly a week that Obama’s support has dipped below 50% but the sixth straight day that he has enjoyed a significant lead over Clinton (see recent daily results). Clinton continues to hold a modest lead in Pennsylvania while Obama holds a huge lead in North Carolina. Data from Rasmussen Markets now gives Obama an 83.0 % chance to win the Democratic nomination.
Gender and race issues have been a major factor in the Democratic competition. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 37% of voters nationwide believe that African-Americans experience more discrimination than women while 27% hold the opposite view.
Hillary Clinton has called upon President Bush to boycott the opening ceremonies of the Olympics to protest recent human rights violations of the Chinese government. Just 31% of voters believe that the President should skip the opening ceremonies.
Democrats enjoy a six-percentage point advantage on the Generic Congressional Ballot. This comes at a time when just 13% believe the nation’s legislators are doing a good or an excellent job.
Sixty-three percent (63%) of Americans say the federal government is not doing enough to help the troubled economy. Fifty-six percent (56%) believe that stopping illegal immigration would help the economy. At the same time, 47% consider Global Warming a Very Serious problem, but a solid plurality sees a conflict between economic growth and environmental protection. Solid pluralities believe that a national health insurance program overseen by the federal government would raise costs and reduce quality of care. However, most believe that employers should be required to provide health insurance for their workers.
Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. The general election sample is currently based upon interviews with 1,600 Likely Voters. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for the full-week results are available for Premium Members. See crosstabs for general election match-ups, favorable ratings and Democratic primary.